| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | W | Alcorn State | 49-3 | 1424.6 | +81.4 | 1506.0 | 96.3% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | L | Auburn | 8-43 | 1506.0 | -123.2 | 1382.8 | 15.2% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | L | UConn | 20-48 | 1382.8 | +16.4 | 1399.2 | 28.1% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | L | Tulane | 21-24 | 1399.2 | +27.5 | 1426.7 | 18.2% |
| 6 | Oct 7 2026 | L | Troy | 34-55 | 1424.3 | -17.9 | 1406.4 | 38.7% |